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Saturday 20 May 2017, 16:30 Signal Iduna Park Full time
71% 16% 13%
Home win
71.0%
Draw
15.7%
Away win
13.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Borussia Dortmund 71.0% 1.41
Draw 15.7% 6.35
Werder Bremen 13.2% 7.56

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 98.1% 1.02
Under 0.5 1.9% 52.22
Over 1.5 92.2% 1.08
Under 1.5 7.8% 12.88
Over 2.5 78.3% 1.28
Under 2.5 21.7% 4.62
Over 3.5 59.6% 1.68
Under 3.5 40.4% 2.47
Over 4.5 40.1% 2.49
Under 4.5 59.9% 1.67

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 67.7% 1.48
No 32.3% 3.10

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Borussia Dortmund / Draw 86.8% 1.15
Borussia Dortmund / Werder Bremen 84.3% 1.19
Draw / Werder Bremen 29.0% 3.45

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
1.9
1.6
1.2
0.5
0.2
0.0
1
4.2
6.0
3.6
1.5
0.5
0.1
2
6.6
8.3
5.2
2.1
0.7
0.2
3
6.4
8.0
5.0
2.1
0.6
0.2
4
4.7
5.8
3.6
1.5
0.5
0.1
5
2.7
3.4
2.1
0.9
0.3
0.1
Rows: Borussia Dortmund goals. Columns: Werder Bremen goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.