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Saturday 22 April 2017, 19:30 Borussia-Park Full time
33% 26% 41%
Home win
33.2%
Draw
25.5%
Away win
41.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Borussia Mönchengladbach 33.2% 3.01
Draw 25.5% 3.92
Borussia Dortmund 41.3% 2.42

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.4% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.6% 17.76
Over 1.5 80.8% 1.24
Under 1.5 19.2% 5.21
Over 2.5 57.8% 1.73
Under 2.5 42.2% 2.37
Over 3.5 35.4% 2.83
Under 3.5 64.6% 1.55
Over 4.5 18.5% 5.40
Under 4.5 81.5% 1.23

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 60.9% 1.64
No 39.1% 2.56

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Borussia Mönchengladbach / Draw 58.7% 1.70
Borussia Mönchengladbach / Borussia Dortmund 74.5% 1.34
Draw / Borussia Dortmund 66.8% 1.50

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.6
7.2
6.3
3.3
1.3
0.4
1
6.3
11.8
8.9
4.7
1.9
0.6
2
4.9
7.9
6.3
3.3
1.3
0.4
3
2.3
3.7
2.9
1.6
0.6
0.2
4
0.8
1.3
1.0
0.6
0.2
0.1
5
0.2
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Borussia Mönchengladbach goals. Columns: Borussia Dortmund goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.