Saturday 1 April 2017, 16:30
VELTINS-Arena
Full time
37%
28%
36%
Home win
36.6%
Draw
27.6%
Away win
35.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Schalke 04 | 36.6% | 2.74 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.6% | 3.63 | — | — |
| Borussia Dortmund | 35.9% | 2.79 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.2% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.8% | 12.83 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 75.0% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 25.0% | 4.00 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 49.5% | 2.02 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 27.5% | 3.63 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 72.5% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 13.0% | 7.69 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 87.0% | 1.15 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 54.7% | 1.83 | — | — |
| No | 45.3% | 2.21 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Schalke 04 / Draw | 64.1% | 1.56 | — | — |
| FC Schalke 04 / Borussia Dortmund | 72.4% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Draw / Borussia Dortmund | 63.4% | 1.58 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.8
|
8.6
|
6.1
|
2.7
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
8.7
|
13.1
|
8.2
|
3.6
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
6.3
|
8.3
|
5.4
|
2.4
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
2.8
|
3.7
|
2.4
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.9
|
1.2
|
0.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2023
FC Schalke 04
2-2
Borussia Dortmund
Sep 2022
Borussia Dortmund
1-0
FC Schalke 04
Feb 2021
FC Schalke 04
0-4
Borussia Dortmund
Oct 2020
Borussia Dortmund
3-0
FC Schalke 04
May 2020
Borussia Dortmund
4-0
FC Schalke 04
Oct 2019
FC Schalke 04
0-0
Borussia Dortmund
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.