Friday 17 March 2017, 21:30
Signal Iduna Park
Full time
79%
14%
7%
Home win
78.8%
Draw
13.8%
Away win
7.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund | 78.8% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Draw | 13.8% | 7.27 | — | — |
| FC Ingolstadt 04 | 7.4% | 13.48 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.0% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.0% | 33.17 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 88.1% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 11.9% | 8.38 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 70.2% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 29.8% | 3.36 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 49.1% | 2.04 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 50.9% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 29.9% | 3.34 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 70.1% | 1.43 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
| No | 47.9% | 2.09 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund / Draw | 92.6% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Borussia Dortmund / FC Ingolstadt 04 | 86.2% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Draw / FC Ingolstadt 04 | 21.2% | 4.72 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.0
|
1.8
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
7.2
|
6.4
|
2.4
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
10.6
|
8.5
|
3.4
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
10.0
|
8.0
|
3.2
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
7.1
|
5.7
|
2.3
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
4.0
|
3.2
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.