Saturday 4 March 2017, 16:30
Signal Iduna Park
Full time
68%
18%
13%
Home win
68.5%
Draw
18.1%
Away win
13.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund | 68.5% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Draw | 18.1% | 5.53 | — | — |
| Bayer Leverkusen | 13.4% | 7.44 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.5% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.5% | 28.96 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 87.0% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 13.0% | 7.67 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 68.1% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 31.9% | 3.13 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 46.5% | 2.15 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 53.5% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 27.6% | 3.62 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 72.4% | 1.38 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 59.4% | 1.68 | — | — |
| No | 40.6% | 2.47 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund / Draw | 86.6% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Borussia Dortmund / Bayer Leverkusen | 81.9% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Draw / Bayer Leverkusen | 31.5% | 3.17 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.5
|
2.6
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
7.0
|
8.1
|
4.0
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.2
|
9.5
|
4.9
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
7.6
|
7.8
|
4.0
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
4.7
|
4.8
|
2.5
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.3
|
2.4
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Borussia Dortmund
0-1
Bayer Leverkusen
Nov 2025
Bayer Leverkusen
1-2
Borussia Dortmund
May 2025
Bayer Leverkusen
2-4
Borussia Dortmund
Jan 2025
Borussia Dortmund
2-3
Bayer Leverkusen
Apr 2024
Borussia Dortmund
1-1
Bayer Leverkusen
Dec 2023
Bayer Leverkusen
1-1
Borussia Dortmund
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.