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Friday 3 February 2017, 21:30 Volksparkstadion Full time
28% 25% 47%
Home win
28.3%
Draw
24.9%
Away win
46.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hamburger SV 28.3% 3.53
Draw 24.9% 4.02
Bayer Leverkusen 46.8% 2.14

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.5% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.5% 18.25
Over 1.5 81.2% 1.23
Under 1.5 18.8% 5.32
Over 2.5 58.4% 1.71
Under 2.5 41.6% 2.40
Over 3.5 36.0% 2.78
Under 3.5 64.0% 1.56
Over 4.5 19.0% 5.26
Under 4.5 81.0% 1.23

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 60.5% 1.65
No 39.5% 2.53

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hamburger SV / Draw 53.2% 1.88
Hamburger SV / Bayer Leverkusen 75.1% 1.33
Draw / Bayer Leverkusen 71.7% 1.40

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.5
7.7
7.2
4.2
1.8
0.6
1
5.6
11.5
9.4
5.4
2.3
0.8
2
4.1
7.1
6.1
3.5
1.5
0.5
3
1.8
3.1
2.7
1.5
0.7
0.2
4
0.6
1.0
0.9
0.5
0.2
0.1
5
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
Rows: Hamburger SV goals. Columns: Bayer Leverkusen goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.