Sunday 11 December 2016, 18:30
VELTINS-Arena
Full time
56%
24%
20%
Home win
55.8%
Draw
23.9%
Away win
20.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Schalke 04 | 55.8% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.9% | 4.18 | — | — |
| Bayer Leverkusen | 20.3% | 4.92 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.8% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.2% | 16.07 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 79.0% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 21.0% | 4.75 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 55.1% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 44.9% | 2.23 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 32.7% | 3.06 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 67.3% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 16.6% | 6.03 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 83.4% | 1.20 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 55.0% | 1.82 | — | — |
| No | 45.0% | 2.22 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Schalke 04 / Draw | 79.7% | 1.25 | — | — |
| FC Schalke 04 / Bayer Leverkusen | 76.1% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Draw / Bayer Leverkusen | 44.2% | 2.26 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.2
|
5.1
|
3.0
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
9.7
|
11.3
|
5.5
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.5
|
9.9
|
5.1
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
5.9
|
6.1
|
3.2
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
2.7
|
2.8
|
1.5
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.0
|
1.0
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2023
FC Schalke 04
0-3
Bayer Leverkusen
Oct 2022
Bayer Leverkusen
4-0
FC Schalke 04
Apr 2021
Bayer Leverkusen
2-1
FC Schalke 04
Dec 2020
FC Schalke 04
0-3
Bayer Leverkusen
Jun 2020
FC Schalke 04
1-1
Bayer Leverkusen
Dec 2019
Bayer Leverkusen
2-1
FC Schalke 04
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.