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Sunday 6 November 2016, 18:30 VELTINS-Arena Full time
77% 15% 8%
Home win
77.1%
Draw
14.7%
Away win
8.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
FC Schalke 04 77.1% 1.30
Draw 14.7% 6.82
Werder Bremen 8.2% 12.15

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.8% 1.03
Under 0.5 3.2% 30.85
Over 1.5 87.4% 1.14
Under 1.5 12.6% 7.92
Over 2.5 68.9% 1.45
Under 2.5 31.1% 3.22
Over 3.5 47.5% 2.10
Under 3.5 52.5% 1.91
Over 4.5 28.5% 3.51
Under 4.5 71.5% 1.40

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 52.7% 1.90
No 47.3% 2.11

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
FC Schalke 04 / Draw 91.8% 1.09
FC Schalke 04 / Werder Bremen 85.3% 1.17
Draw / Werder Bremen 22.9% 4.37

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.2
2.0
1.0
0.3
0.1
0.0
1
7.4
6.8
2.6
0.7
0.1
0.0
2
10.7
8.8
3.6
1.0
0.2
0.0
3
9.7
8.0
3.3
0.9
0.2
0.0
4
6.7
5.5
2.2
0.6
0.1
0.0
5
3.6
3.0
1.2
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: FC Schalke 04 goals. Columns: Werder Bremen goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.