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Saturday 29 October 2016, 19:30 Signal Iduna Park Full time
Borussia Dortmund
0–0
HT 0–0
FC Schalke 04
59% 21% 20%
Home win
58.8%
Draw
21.2%
Away win
20.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Borussia Dortmund 58.8% 1.70 — —
Draw 21.2% 4.72 — —
FC Schalke 04 20.0% 4.99 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.2% 1.04 — —
Under 0.5 3.8% 25.99 — —
Over 1.5 85.9% 1.16 — —
Under 1.5 14.1% 7.10 — —
Over 2.5 66.1% 1.51 — —
Under 2.5 33.9% 2.95 — —
Over 3.5 44.3% 2.26 — —
Under 3.5 55.7% 1.80 — —
Over 4.5 25.7% 3.89 — —
Under 4.5 74.3% 1.35 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 63.1% 1.58 — —
No 36.9% 2.71 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Borussia Dortmund / Draw 80.0% 1.25 — —
Borussia Dortmund / FC Schalke 04 78.8% 1.27 — —
Draw / FC Schalke 04 41.2% 2.42 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.8
3.5
2.5
1.0
0.3
0.1
1
6.7
9.4
5.4
2.2
0.7
0.2
2
7.9
9.7
5.9
2.4
0.7
0.2
3
5.8
7.0
4.3
1.8
0.5
0.1
4
3.2
3.8
2.3
1.0
0.3
0.1
5
1.4
1.7
1.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
Rows: Borussia Dortmund goals. Columns: FC Schalke 04 goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Borussia Dortmund
W W L D D
FC Schalke 04
L L W D W

Head to head

Mar 2023 FC Schalke 04 2-2 Borussia Dortmund Sep 2022 Borussia Dortmund 1-0 FC Schalke 04 Feb 2021 FC Schalke 04 0-4 Borussia Dortmund Oct 2020 Borussia Dortmund 3-0 FC Schalke 04 May 2020 Borussia Dortmund 4-0 FC Schalke 04 Oct 2019 FC Schalke 04 0-0 Borussia Dortmund

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.