Sunday 23 October 2016, 18:30
VELTINS-Arena
Full time
49%
24%
26%
Home win
49.5%
Draw
24.1%
Away win
26.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Schalke 04 | 49.5% | 2.02 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.1% | 4.15 | — | — |
| FSV Mainz 05 | 26.4% | 3.78 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.0% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.0% | 19.90 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 82.5% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 17.5% | 5.71 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 60.4% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 39.6% | 2.52 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 38.0% | 2.63 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 62.0% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 20.6% | 4.86 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 79.4% | 1.26 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 61.5% | 1.63 | — | — |
| No | 38.5% | 2.60 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Schalke 04 / Draw | 73.6% | 1.36 | — | — |
| FC Schalke 04 / FSV Mainz 05 | 75.9% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Draw / FSV Mainz 05 | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.0
|
5.1
|
3.7
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
7.4
|
11.0
|
6.7
|
2.9
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
7.4
|
9.5
|
6.2
|
2.7
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
4.5
|
5.8
|
3.8
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
2.1
|
2.7
|
1.7
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.8
|
1.0
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2023
FSV Mainz 05
2-3
FC Schalke 04
Nov 2022
FC Schalke 04
1-0
FSV Mainz 05
Mar 2021
FC Schalke 04
0-0
FSV Mainz 05
Nov 2020
FSV Mainz 05
2-2
FC Schalke 04
Feb 2020
FSV Mainz 05
0-0
FC Schalke 04
Sep 2019
FC Schalke 04
2-1
FSV Mainz 05
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.