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Saturday 3 December 2016, 19:30 Red Bull Arena Full time
54% 26% 21%
Home win
54.0%
Draw
25.5%
Away win
20.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
RB Leipzig 54.0% 1.85
Draw 25.5% 3.92
FC Schalke 04 20.5% 4.87

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.1% 1.09
Under 0.5 7.9% 12.73
Over 1.5 74.6% 1.34
Under 1.5 25.4% 3.94
Over 2.5 49.0% 2.04
Under 2.5 51.0% 1.96
Over 3.5 27.2% 3.68
Under 3.5 72.8% 1.37
Over 4.5 12.8% 7.83
Under 4.5 87.2% 1.15

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 50.7% 1.97
No 49.3% 2.03

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
RB Leipzig / Draw 79.5% 1.26
RB Leipzig / FC Schalke 04 74.5% 1.34
Draw / FC Schalke 04 46.0% 2.17

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.9
6.1
3.2
1.0
0.2
0.0
1
11.4
12.2
5.5
1.7
0.4
0.1
2
10.2
9.7
4.6
1.5
0.3
0.1
3
5.7
5.4
2.6
0.8
0.2
0.0
4
2.4
2.3
1.1
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.8
0.8
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: RB Leipzig goals. Columns: FC Schalke 04 goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.