Sunday 6 November 2016, 16:30
Red Bull Arena
Full time
68%
19%
12%
Home win
68.1%
Draw
19.4%
Away win
12.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig | 68.1% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Draw | 19.4% | 5.15 | — | — |
| FSV Mainz 05 | 12.5% | 8.03 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.0% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.0% | 19.91 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 82.1% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 17.9% | 5.57 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 59.9% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 40.1% | 2.49 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 37.5% | 2.66 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 62.5% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 20.2% | 4.95 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 79.8% | 1.25 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
| No | 47.9% | 2.09 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig / Draw | 87.5% | 1.14 | — | — |
| RB Leipzig / FSV Mainz 05 | 80.6% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Draw / FSV Mainz 05 | 31.9% | 3.14 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.0
|
3.4
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
9.6
|
9.2
|
3.7
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.3
|
9.7
|
4.2
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
8.4
|
7.3
|
3.1
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
4.7
|
4.1
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.1
|
1.8
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
RB Leipzig
1-2
FSV Mainz 05
Sep 2025
FSV Mainz 05
0-1
RB Leipzig
Mar 2025
RB Leipzig
1-2
FSV Mainz 05
Oct 2024
FSV Mainz 05
0-2
RB Leipzig
Mar 2024
RB Leipzig
0-0
FSV Mainz 05
Nov 2023
FSV Mainz 05
2-0
RB Leipzig
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.