Saturday 29 October 2016, 16:30
Opel Arena
Full time
58%
22%
20%
Home win
58.0%
Draw
21.5%
Away win
20.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FSV Mainz 05 | 58.0% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Draw | 21.5% | 4.64 | — | — |
| FC Ingolstadt 04 | 20.5% | 4.89 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.0% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.0% | 24.90 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 85.4% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 14.6% | 6.85 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 65.3% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 34.7% | 2.88 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 43.3% | 2.31 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 56.7% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 24.8% | 4.02 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 75.2% | 1.33 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 62.7% | 1.60 | — | — |
| No | 37.3% | 2.68 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FSV Mainz 05 / Draw | 79.5% | 1.26 | — | — |
| FSV Mainz 05 / FC Ingolstadt 04 | 78.5% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Draw / FC Ingolstadt 04 | 42.0% | 2.38 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.0
|
3.7
|
2.6
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
6.9
|
9.6
|
5.5
|
2.2
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
8.0
|
9.7
|
5.9
|
2.4
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
5.7
|
6.9
|
4.2
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
3.1
|
3.7
|
2.3
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
1.3
|
1.6
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.