Sunday 2 April 2017, 16:30
Audi Sportpark
Full time
43%
27%
30%
Home win
42.5%
Draw
27.2%
Away win
30.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Ingolstadt 04 | 42.5% | 2.35 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.2% | 3.67 | — | — |
| FSV Mainz 05 | 30.3% | 3.31 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.3% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.7% | 12.94 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 75.1% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 24.9% | 4.02 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 49.7% | 2.01 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 27.7% | 3.61 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 72.3% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 13.1% | 7.62 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 86.9% | 1.15 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
| No | 45.6% | 2.19 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Ingolstadt 04 / Draw | 69.7% | 1.43 | — | — |
| FC Ingolstadt 04 / FSV Mainz 05 | 72.8% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Draw / FSV Mainz 05 | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.7
|
7.6
|
5.0
|
2.0
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
9.5
|
13.0
|
7.3
|
2.9
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
7.5
|
9.0
|
5.4
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
3.6
|
4.4
|
2.6
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.3
|
1.6
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.