Saturday 18 February 2017, 16:30
Commerzbank-Arena
Full time
62%
25%
13%
Home win
62.3%
Draw
25.1%
Away win
12.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 62.3% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.1% | 3.98 | — | — |
| FC Ingolstadt 04 | 12.6% | 7.91 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88.9% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.1% | 9.01 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 66.5% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 33.5% | 2.99 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 39.2% | 2.55 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 60.8% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 19.2% | 5.21 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 80.8% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.9% | 12.70 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 92.1% | 1.09 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 37.3% | 2.68 | — | — |
| No | 62.7% | 1.59 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eintracht Frankfurt / Draw | 87.4% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Eintracht Frankfurt / FC Ingolstadt 04 | 74.9% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Draw / FC Ingolstadt 04 | 37.7% | 2.65 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
11.1
|
5.7
|
1.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
16.7
|
11.1
|
3.2
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
14.3
|
8.6
|
2.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
7.9
|
4.8
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
3.3
|
2.0
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.1
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.