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Tuesday 20 December 2016, 21:00 Commerzbank-Arena Full time
57% 24% 19%
Home win
57.3%
Draw
23.7%
Away win
19.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Eintracht Frankfurt 57.3% 1.74
Draw 23.7% 4.22
FSV Mainz 05 19.0% 5.27

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.5% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.5% 15.49
Over 1.5 78.3% 1.28
Under 1.5 21.7% 4.60
Over 2.5 54.1% 1.85
Under 2.5 45.9% 2.18
Over 3.5 31.8% 3.14
Under 3.5 68.2% 1.47
Over 4.5 15.9% 6.28
Under 4.5 84.1% 1.19

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 53.5% 1.87
No 46.5% 2.15

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Eintracht Frankfurt / Draw 81.0% 1.23
Eintracht Frankfurt / FSV Mainz 05 76.3% 1.31
Draw / FSV Mainz 05 42.7% 2.34

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.5
5.1
2.8
0.9
0.2
0.0
1
10.2
11.3
5.2
1.7
0.4
0.1
2
10.1
9.9
4.9
1.6
0.4
0.1
3
6.3
6.1
3.0
1.0
0.2
0.0
4
2.9
2.9
1.4
0.5
0.1
0.0
5
1.1
1.1
0.5
0.2
0.0
0.0
Rows: Eintracht Frankfurt goals. Columns: FSV Mainz 05 goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.