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Sunday 11 December 2016, 16:30 Borussia-Park Full time
36% 25% 39%
Home win
36.1%
Draw
25.2%
Away win
38.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Borussia Mönchengladbach 36.1% 2.77
Draw 25.2% 3.96
FSV Mainz 05 38.7% 2.58

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.8% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.2% 19.05
Over 1.5 81.9% 1.22
Under 1.5 18.1% 5.52
Over 2.5 59.4% 1.68
Under 2.5 40.6% 2.47
Over 3.5 37.1% 2.70
Under 3.5 62.9% 1.59
Over 4.5 19.8% 5.04
Under 4.5 80.2% 1.25

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 62.4% 1.60
No 37.6% 2.66

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Borussia Mönchengladbach / Draw 61.3% 1.63
Borussia Mönchengladbach / FSV Mainz 05 74.8% 1.34
Draw / FSV Mainz 05 63.9% 1.56

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.3
6.6
5.7
3.0
1.2
0.4
1
6.3
11.6
8.6
4.5
1.8
0.6
2
5.2
8.2
6.5
3.4
1.3
0.4
3
2.6
4.1
3.2
1.7
0.7
0.2
4
1.0
1.6
1.2
0.6
0.3
0.1
5
0.3
0.5
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Borussia Mönchengladbach goals. Columns: FSV Mainz 05 goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.