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Saturday 3 December 2016, 16:30 Signal Iduna Park Full time
Borussia Dortmund
4–1
HT 2–1
Borussia Mönchengladbach
69% 19% 12%
Home win
68.8%
Draw
19.1%
Away win
12.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Borussia Dortmund 68.8% 1.45 — —
Draw 19.1% 5.24 — —
Borussia Mönchengladbach 12.1% 8.24 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.1% 1.05 — —
Under 0.5 4.9% 20.41 — —
Over 1.5 82.4% 1.21 — —
Under 1.5 17.6% 5.68 — —
Over 2.5 60.5% 1.65 — —
Under 2.5 39.5% 2.53 — —
Over 3.5 38.1% 2.62 — —
Under 3.5 61.9% 1.62 — —
Over 4.5 20.6% 4.85 — —
Under 4.5 79.4% 1.26 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 52.1% 1.92 — —
No 47.9% 2.09 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Borussia Dortmund / Draw 87.9% 1.14 — —
Borussia Dortmund / Borussia Mönchengladbach 80.9% 1.24 — —
Draw / Borussia Mönchengladbach 31.2% 3.20 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.9
3.2
1.6
0.5
0.1
0.0
1
9.4
9.0
3.7
1.0
0.2
0.0
2
11.3
9.7
4.1
1.2
0.3
0.0
3
8.6
7.3
3.1
0.9
0.2
0.0
4
4.9
4.2
1.8
0.5
0.1
0.0
5
2.2
1.9
0.8
0.2
0.0
0.0
Rows: Borussia Dortmund goals. Columns: Borussia Mönchengladbach goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Borussia Dortmund
D D W W L
Borussia Mönchengladbach
L D L L D

Head to head

May 2026 Borussia Mönchengladbach 1-0 Borussia Dortmund Dec 2025 Borussia Dortmund 2-0 Borussia Mönchengladbach Apr 2025 Borussia Dortmund 3-2 Borussia Mönchengladbach Dec 2024 Borussia Mönchengladbach 1-1 Borussia Dortmund Apr 2024 Borussia Mönchengladbach 1-2 Borussia Dortmund Nov 2023 Borussia Dortmund 4-2 Borussia Mönchengladbach

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.