Saturday 19 November 2016, 19:30
Signal Iduna Park
Full time
34%
24%
42%
Home win
33.7%
Draw
24.2%
Away win
42.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund | 33.7% | 2.97 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.2% | 4.13 | — | — |
| Bayern München | 42.1% | 2.38 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.6% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.4% | 22.68 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 84.4% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 15.6% | 6.40 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 63.4% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 36.6% | 2.74 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 41.3% | 2.42 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 58.7% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 23.2% | 4.31 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 76.8% | 1.30 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 65.2% | 1.53 | — | — |
| No | 34.8% | 2.88 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund / Draw | 57.9% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Borussia Dortmund / Bayern München | 75.8% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Draw / Bayern München | 66.3% | 1.51 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.4
|
6.0
|
5.7
|
3.3
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
| 1 |
5.2
|
10.7
|
8.8
|
5.1
|
2.2
|
0.8
|
| 2 |
4.5
|
7.8
|
6.7
|
3.9
|
1.7
|
0.6
|
| 3 |
2.3
|
4.0
|
3.4
|
2.0
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
| 4 |
0.9
|
1.5
|
1.3
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.5
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Borussia Dortmund
2-3
Bayern München
Oct 2025
Bayern München
2-1
Borussia Dortmund
Apr 2025
Bayern München
2-2
Borussia Dortmund
Nov 2024
Borussia Dortmund
1-1
Bayern München
Mar 2024
Bayern München
0-2
Borussia Dortmund
Nov 2023
Borussia Dortmund
0-4
Bayern München
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.