Saturday 5 November 2016, 16:30
Allianz Arena
Full time
65%
20%
15%
Home win
65.0%
Draw
20.3%
Away win
14.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern München | 65.0% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Draw | 20.3% | 4.92 | — | — |
| 1899 Hoffenheim | 14.6% | 6.83 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.1% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.9% | 20.61 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 82.7% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 17.3% | 5.77 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 60.8% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 39.2% | 2.55 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 38.5% | 2.60 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 61.5% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 20.9% | 4.77 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 79.1% | 1.27 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 55.1% | 1.82 | — | — |
| No | 44.9% | 2.23 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern München / Draw | 85.4% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Bayern München / 1899 Hoffenheim | 79.7% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Draw / 1899 Hoffenheim | 35.0% | 2.86 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.9
|
3.6
|
2.0
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
8.9
|
9.5
|
4.3
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
10.4
|
9.9
|
4.7
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
7.6
|
7.2
|
3.4
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
4.1
|
3.9
|
1.9
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.8
|
1.7
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Bayern München
5-1
1899 Hoffenheim
Sep 2025
1899 Hoffenheim
1-4
Bayern München
May 2025
1899 Hoffenheim
0-4
Bayern München
Jan 2025
Bayern München
5-0
1899 Hoffenheim
May 2024
1899 Hoffenheim
4-2
Bayern München
Jan 2024
Bayern München
3-0
1899 Hoffenheim
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.