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Sunday 30 October 2016, 16:30 WIRSOL Rhein-Neckar-Arena Full time
42% 25% 33%
Home win
41.9%
Draw
24.6%
Away win
33.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
1899 Hoffenheim 41.9% 2.39
Draw 24.6% 4.06
Hertha Berlin 33.5% 2.99

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.2% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.8% 21.00
Over 1.5 83.3% 1.20
Under 1.5 16.7% 6.00
Over 2.5 61.7% 1.62
Under 2.5 38.3% 2.61
Over 3.5 39.4% 2.54
Under 3.5 60.6% 1.65
Over 4.5 21.7% 4.61
Under 4.5 78.3% 1.28

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 63.9% 1.56
No 36.1% 2.77

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
1899 Hoffenheim / Draw 66.5% 1.50
1899 Hoffenheim / Hertha Berlin 75.4% 1.33
Draw / Hertha Berlin 58.1% 1.72

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.8
5.6
4.6
2.3
0.9
0.3
1
6.4
11.1
7.8
3.9
1.5
0.4
2
5.9
8.8
6.6
3.3
1.2
0.4
3
3.3
5.0
3.7
1.9
0.7
0.2
4
1.4
2.1
1.6
0.8
0.3
0.1
5
0.5
0.7
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: 1899 Hoffenheim goals. Columns: Hertha Berlin goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.