Skip to content
Saturday 24 September 2016, 16:30 Commerzbank-Arena Full time
38% 38% 24%
Home win
37.7%
Draw
38.2%
Away win
24.2%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Eintracht Frankfurt 37.7% 2.66
Draw 38.2% 2.62
Hertha Berlin 24.2% 4.14

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 76.4% 1.31
Under 0.5 23.6% 4.24
Over 1.5 44.2% 2.26
Under 1.5 55.8% 1.79
Over 2.5 18.5% 5.40
Under 2.5 81.5% 1.23
Over 3.5 6.3% 15.93
Under 3.5 93.7% 1.07
Over 4.5 1.8% 57.14
Under 4.5 98.3% 1.02

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 27.4% 3.65
No 72.6% 1.38

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Eintracht Frankfurt / Draw 75.8% 1.32
Eintracht Frankfurt / Hertha Berlin 61.8% 1.62
Draw / Hertha Berlin 62.3% 1.60

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
23.6
13.5
4.4
0.9
0.1
0.0
1
18.8
12.9
3.8
0.8
0.1
0.0
2
8.3
5.2
1.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
3
2.4
1.5
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
4
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Eintracht Frankfurt goals. Columns: Hertha Berlin goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.