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Saturday 26 November 2016, 16:30 Commerzbank-Arena Full time
37% 27% 36%
Home win
36.9%
Draw
27.3%
Away win
35.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Eintracht Frankfurt 36.9% 2.71
Draw 27.3% 3.66
Borussia Dortmund 35.7% 2.80

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.5% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.5% 13.31
Over 1.5 75.7% 1.32
Under 1.5 24.3% 4.12
Over 2.5 50.4% 1.98
Under 2.5 49.6% 2.02
Over 3.5 28.4% 3.52
Under 3.5 71.6% 1.40
Over 4.5 13.6% 7.36
Under 4.5 86.4% 1.16

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 55.4% 1.80
No 44.6% 2.24

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Eintracht Frankfurt / Draw 64.3% 1.56
Eintracht Frankfurt / Borussia Dortmund 72.7% 1.38
Draw / Borussia Dortmund 63.1% 1.59

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.5
8.3
6.0
2.7
0.9
0.2
1
8.5
13.0
8.2
3.6
1.2
0.3
2
6.3
8.3
5.6
2.5
0.8
0.2
3
2.8
3.8
2.5
1.1
0.4
0.1
4
1.0
1.3
0.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Eintracht Frankfurt goals. Columns: Borussia Dortmund goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.