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Friday 21 October 2016, 21:30 Volksparkstadion Full time
22% 30% 48%
Home win
22.0%
Draw
29.5%
Away win
48.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hamburger SV 22.0% 4.55
Draw 29.5% 3.38
Eintracht Frankfurt 48.5% 2.06

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.8% 1.14
Under 0.5 12.2% 8.19
Over 1.5 64.5% 1.55
Under 1.5 35.5% 2.82
Over 2.5 36.9% 2.71
Under 2.5 63.1% 1.58
Over 3.5 17.4% 5.74
Under 3.5 82.6% 1.21
Over 4.5 6.9% 14.49
Under 4.5 93.1% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 42.1% 2.37
No 57.9% 1.73

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hamburger SV / Draw 51.5% 1.94
Hamburger SV / Eintracht Frankfurt 70.5% 1.42
Draw / Eintracht Frankfurt 78.0% 1.28

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.2
14.7
10.4
4.7
1.6
0.4
1
8.6
13.4
8.5
3.8
1.3
0.3
2
3.8
5.2
3.5
1.6
0.5
0.1
3
1.0
1.4
1.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Hamburger SV goals. Columns: Eintracht Frankfurt goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.