Skip to content
Saturday 5 May 2018, 16:30 Commerzbank-Arena Full time
55% 27% 18%
Home win
55.4%
Draw
26.6%
Away win
18.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Eintracht Frankfurt 55.4% 1.80
Draw 26.6% 3.76
Hamburger SV 18.0% 5.56

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.0% 1.11
Under 0.5 10.0% 9.97
Over 1.5 69.2% 1.44
Under 1.5 30.8% 3.25
Over 2.5 42.3% 2.36
Under 2.5 57.7% 1.73
Over 3.5 21.5% 4.64
Under 3.5 78.5% 1.27
Over 4.5 9.2% 10.82
Under 4.5 90.8% 1.10

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 44.1% 2.27
No 55.9% 1.79

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Eintracht Frankfurt / Draw 82.0% 1.22
Eintracht Frankfurt / Hamburger SV 73.4% 1.36
Draw / Hamburger SV 44.6% 2.24

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.0
6.7
2.9
0.8
0.2
0.0
1
14.0
12.4
4.6
1.2
0.2
0.0
2
11.7
9.2
3.6
1.0
0.2
0.0
3
6.1
4.9
1.9
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
2.4
1.9
0.8
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.8
0.6
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Eintracht Frankfurt goals. Columns: Hamburger SV goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.