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Saturday 18 March 2017, 19:30 Commerzbank-Arena Full time
57% 25% 17%
Home win
57.5%
Draw
25.5%
Away win
17.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Eintracht Frankfurt 57.5% 1.74
Draw 25.5% 3.93
Hamburger SV 17.1% 5.86

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.9% 1.10
Under 0.5 9.1% 11.00
Over 1.5 71.4% 1.40
Under 1.5 28.6% 3.50
Over 2.5 45.0% 2.22
Under 2.5 55.0% 1.82
Over 3.5 23.7% 4.22
Under 3.5 76.3% 1.31
Over 4.5 10.5% 9.48
Under 4.5 89.5% 1.12

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 45.5% 2.20
No 54.5% 1.83

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Eintracht Frankfurt / Draw 82.9% 1.21
Eintracht Frankfurt / Hamburger SV 74.5% 1.34
Draw / Hamburger SV 42.5% 2.35

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.1
6.1
2.7
0.7
0.1
0.0
1
13.4
12.0
4.5
1.2
0.2
0.0
2
11.8
9.4
3.8
1.0
0.2
0.0
3
6.6
5.3
2.1
0.6
0.1
0.0
4
2.8
2.2
0.9
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.9
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Eintracht Frankfurt goals. Columns: Hamburger SV goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.