Saturday 11 February 2017, 16:30
Red Bull Arena
Full time
82%
13%
5%
Home win
82.3%
Draw
12.6%
Away win
5.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig | 82.3% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Draw | 12.6% | 7.92 | — | — |
| Hamburger SV | 5.0% | 19.85 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.1% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.9% | 25.60 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 84.9% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 15.1% | 6.62 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 64.7% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 35.3% | 2.84 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 42.7% | 2.34 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 57.3% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 24.3% | 4.11 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 75.7% | 1.32 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 41.5% | 2.41 | — | — |
| No | 58.5% | 1.71 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig / Draw | 95.0% | 1.05 | — | — |
| RB Leipzig / Hamburger SV | 87.4% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Draw / Hamburger SV | 17.7% | 5.66 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.9
|
1.7
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
9.5
|
6.0
|
1.6
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
13.5
|
7.8
|
2.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
12.4
|
7.2
|
2.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
8.6
|
5.0
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
4.7
|
2.7
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Hamburger SV
1-2
RB Leipzig
Oct 2025
RB Leipzig
2-1
Hamburger SV
Jan 2018
RB Leipzig
1-1
Hamburger SV
Sep 2017
Hamburger SV
0-2
RB Leipzig
Sep 2016
Hamburger SV
0-4
RB Leipzig
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.