Skip to content
Tuesday 20 December 2016, 21:00 Volksparkstadion Full time
24% 28% 48%
Home win
23.7%
Draw
28.4%
Away win
47.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hamburger SV 23.7% 4.22
Draw 28.4% 3.53
FC Schalke 04 47.9% 2.09

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.8% 1.11
Under 0.5 10.2% 9.78
Over 1.5 69.0% 1.45
Under 1.5 31.0% 3.22
Over 2.5 41.9% 2.39
Under 2.5 58.1% 1.72
Over 3.5 21.2% 4.71
Under 3.5 78.8% 1.27
Over 4.5 9.1% 11.04
Under 4.5 90.9% 1.10

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 46.7% 2.14
No 53.3% 1.88

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hamburger SV / Draw 52.1% 1.92
Hamburger SV / FC Schalke 04 71.6% 1.40
Draw / FC Schalke 04 76.3% 1.31

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.2
12.8
9.7
4.6
1.6
0.5
1
8.0
13.3
9.0
4.3
1.5
0.4
2
4.1
5.8
4.2
2.0
0.7
0.2
3
1.3
1.8
1.3
0.6
0.2
0.1
4
0.3
0.4
0.3
0.1
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Hamburger SV goals. Columns: FC Schalke 04 goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.