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Saturday 10 December 2016, 16:30 Volksparkstadion Full time
29% 32% 39%
Home win
28.9%
Draw
32.0%
Away win
39.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hamburger SV 28.9% 3.46
Draw 32.0% 3.13
FC Augsburg 39.2% 2.55

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 86.1% 1.16
Under 0.5 13.9% 7.18
Over 1.5 61.0% 1.64
Under 1.5 39.0% 2.57
Over 2.5 33.2% 3.02
Under 2.5 66.8% 1.50
Over 3.5 14.8% 6.74
Under 3.5 85.2% 1.17
Over 4.5 5.5% 18.04
Under 4.5 94.5% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 41.1% 2.43
No 58.9% 1.70

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hamburger SV / Draw 60.8% 1.64
Hamburger SV / FC Augsburg 68.0% 1.47
Draw / FC Augsburg 71.1% 1.41

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
13.9
13.8
8.1
3.0
0.8
0.2
1
11.2
14.2
7.5
2.8
0.8
0.2
2
5.5
6.1
3.4
1.3
0.4
0.1
3
1.7
1.9
1.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
0.4
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Hamburger SV goals. Columns: FC Augsburg goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.