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Saturday 26 November 2016, 16:30 Volksparkstadion Full time
41% 25% 34%
Home win
40.6%
Draw
25.4%
Away win
34.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hamburger SV 40.6% 2.46
Draw 25.4% 3.94
Werder Bremen 34.1% 2.94

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.6% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.4% 18.42
Over 1.5 81.4% 1.23
Under 1.5 18.6% 5.37
Over 2.5 58.6% 1.71
Under 2.5 41.4% 2.42
Over 3.5 36.2% 2.76
Under 3.5 63.8% 1.57
Over 4.5 19.2% 5.21
Under 4.5 80.8% 1.24

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 61.6% 1.62
No 38.4% 2.61

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hamburger SV / Draw 65.9% 1.52
Hamburger SV / Werder Bremen 74.6% 1.34
Draw / Werder Bremen 59.4% 1.68

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.4
6.2
5.0
2.4
0.9
0.3
1
7.0
11.7
8.0
3.8
1.4
0.4
2
6.1
8.8
6.4
3.1
1.1
0.3
3
3.2
4.7
3.4
1.6
0.6
0.2
4
1.3
1.9
1.4
0.7
0.2
0.1
5
0.4
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Hamburger SV goals. Columns: Werder Bremen goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.