Skip to content
Saturday 24 February 2018, 19:30 Weser-Stadion Full time
59% 24% 16%
Home win
59.4%
Draw
24.1%
Away win
16.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Werder Bremen 59.4% 1.68
Draw 24.1% 4.16
Hamburger SV 16.5% 6.06

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.2% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.8% 12.84
Over 1.5 74.7% 1.34
Under 1.5 25.3% 3.95
Over 2.5 49.1% 2.03
Under 2.5 50.9% 1.97
Over 3.5 27.3% 3.67
Under 3.5 72.7% 1.37
Over 4.5 12.8% 7.80
Under 4.5 87.2% 1.15

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 48.1% 2.08
No 51.9% 1.93

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Werder Bremen / Draw 83.5% 1.20
Werder Bremen / Hamburger SV 75.9% 1.32
Draw / Hamburger SV 40.6% 2.47

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.8
5.4
2.5
0.7
0.1
0.0
1
12.2
11.4
4.5
1.3
0.3
0.0
2
11.6
9.7
4.1
1.1
0.2
0.0
3
6.9
5.8
2.4
0.7
0.1
0.0
4
3.1
2.6
1.1
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
1.1
0.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Werder Bremen goals. Columns: Hamburger SV goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.