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Saturday 20 January 2018, 19:30 Volksparkstadion Full time
37% 30% 33%
Home win
36.9%
Draw
30.0%
Away win
33.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hamburger SV 36.9% 2.71
Draw 30.0% 3.33
1. FC Köln 33.1% 3.02

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.1% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.9% 9.17
Over 1.5 67.5% 1.48
Under 1.5 32.5% 3.08
Over 2.5 40.2% 2.49
Under 2.5 59.8% 1.67
Over 3.5 19.9% 5.02
Under 3.5 80.1% 1.25
Over 4.5 8.3% 12.08
Under 4.5 91.7% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 47.3% 2.12
No 52.7% 1.90

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hamburger SV / Draw 66.9% 1.49
Hamburger SV / 1. FC Köln 70.0% 1.43
Draw / 1. FC Köln 63.1% 1.59

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.9
10.4
6.2
2.3
0.6
0.1
1
11.2
14.1
7.3
2.7
0.7
0.2
2
7.1
7.9
4.3
1.6
0.4
0.1
3
2.8
3.1
1.7
0.6
0.2
0.0
4
0.8
0.9
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Hamburger SV goals. Columns: 1. FC Köln goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.