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Wednesday 13 December 2017, 21:30 Allianz Arena Full time
86% 10% 4%
Home win
85.9%
Draw
10.3%
Away win
3.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bayern München 85.9% 1.16
Draw 10.3% 9.69
1. FC Köln 3.8% 26.48

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.9% 1.03
Under 0.5 3.1% 32.63
Over 1.5 87.5% 1.14
Under 1.5 12.5% 8.01
Over 2.5 69.4% 1.44
Under 2.5 30.6% 3.27
Over 3.5 48.1% 2.08
Under 3.5 51.9% 1.93
Over 4.5 29.0% 3.45
Under 4.5 71.0% 1.41

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 40.5% 2.47
No 59.5% 1.68

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bayern München / Draw 96.2% 1.04
Bayern München / 1. FC Köln 89.7% 1.12
Draw / 1. FC Köln 14.1% 7.10

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.1
1.3
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
1
8.2
4.9
1.3
0.2
0.0
0.0
2
12.8
7.0
1.9
0.4
0.0
0.0
3
12.9
7.1
2.0
0.4
0.0
0.0
4
9.8
5.4
1.5
0.3
0.0
0.0
5
5.9
3.3
0.9
0.2
0.0
0.0
Rows: Bayern München goals. Columns: 1. FC Köln goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.