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Saturday 18 November 2017, 16:30 Opel Arena Full time
45% 27% 27%
Home win
45.5%
Draw
27.3%
Away win
27.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
FSV Mainz 05 45.5% 2.20
Draw 27.3% 3.66
1. FC Köln 27.2% 3.67

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.8% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.2% 12.17
Over 1.5 73.9% 1.35
Under 1.5 26.1% 3.82
Over 2.5 48.0% 2.08
Under 2.5 52.0% 1.92
Over 3.5 26.2% 3.81
Under 3.5 73.8% 1.36
Over 4.5 12.2% 8.23
Under 4.5 87.8% 1.14

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 52.5% 1.91
No 47.5% 2.10

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
FSV Mainz 05 / Draw 72.8% 1.37
FSV Mainz 05 / 1. FC Köln 72.7% 1.38
Draw / 1. FC Köln 54.5% 1.83

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.2
7.5
4.5
1.7
0.5
0.1
1
10.4
13.0
6.8
2.5
0.7
0.2
2
8.3
9.2
5.0
1.9
0.5
0.1
3
4.1
4.6
2.5
0.9
0.3
0.1
4
1.5
1.7
0.9
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.5
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: FSV Mainz 05 goals. Columns: 1. FC Köln goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.