Saturday 28 October 2017, 16:30
BayArena
Full time
58%
22%
20%
Home win
57.6%
Draw
22.2%
Away win
20.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen | 57.6% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.2% | 4.51 | — | — |
| 1. FC Köln | 20.2% | 4.96 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.4% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.6% | 21.62 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 83.5% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 16.5% | 6.07 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 62.1% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 37.9% | 2.64 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 39.9% | 2.51 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 60.1% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 22.0% | 4.54 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 78.0% | 1.28 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 60.2% | 1.66 | — | — |
| No | 39.8% | 2.51 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen / Draw | 79.8% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Bayer Leverkusen / 1. FC Köln | 77.8% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Draw / 1. FC Köln | 42.4% | 2.36 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.6
|
4.1
|
2.7
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
7.8
|
10.2
|
5.5
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.6
|
9.8
|
5.7
|
2.2
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
5.9
|
6.7
|
3.9
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
3.0
|
3.5
|
2.0
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
1.2
|
1.4
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
1. FC Köln
1-2
Bayer Leverkusen
Dec 2025
Bayer Leverkusen
2-0
1. FC Köln
Mar 2024
1. FC Köln
0-2
Bayer Leverkusen
Oct 2023
Bayer Leverkusen
3-0
1. FC Köln
May 2023
Bayer Leverkusen
1-2
1. FC Köln
Nov 2022
1. FC Köln
1-2
Bayer Leverkusen
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.