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Friday 13 October 2017, 21:30 Mercedes-Benz Arena Full time
33% 31% 36%
Home win
33.2%
Draw
31.3%
Away win
35.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
VfB Stuttgart 33.2% 3.02
Draw 31.3% 3.20
1. FC Köln 35.6% 2.81

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.4% 1.14
Under 0.5 12.6% 7.91
Over 1.5 63.7% 1.57
Under 1.5 36.3% 2.76
Over 2.5 36.0% 2.78
Under 2.5 64.0% 1.56
Over 3.5 16.8% 5.96
Under 3.5 83.2% 1.20
Over 4.5 6.6% 15.25
Under 4.5 93.4% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 43.8% 2.28
No 56.2% 1.78

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
VfB Stuttgart / Draw 64.4% 1.55
VfB Stuttgart / 1. FC Köln 68.7% 1.45
Draw / 1. FC Köln 66.8% 1.50

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.6
12.1
7.0
2.6
0.7
0.2
1
11.5
14.3
7.3
2.7
0.7
0.2
2
6.4
7.0
3.8
1.4
0.4
0.1
3
2.2
2.4
1.3
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
0.6
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: VfB Stuttgart goals. Columns: 1. FC Köln goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.