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Sunday 17 September 2017, 19:00 Signal Iduna Park Full time
67% 20% 13%
Home win
66.9%
Draw
19.6%
Away win
13.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Borussia Dortmund 66.9% 1.49
Draw 19.6% 5.09
1. FC Köln 13.5% 7.43

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.3% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.7% 21.10
Over 1.5 83.0% 1.21
Under 1.5 17.0% 5.87
Over 2.5 61.3% 1.63
Under 2.5 38.7% 2.58
Over 3.5 39.0% 2.56
Under 3.5 61.0% 1.64
Over 4.5 21.3% 4.69
Under 4.5 78.7% 1.27

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 54.3% 1.84
No 45.7% 2.19

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Borussia Dortmund / Draw 86.5% 1.16
Borussia Dortmund / 1. FC Köln 80.4% 1.24
Draw / 1. FC Köln 33.1% 3.02

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.7
3.4
1.8
0.5
0.1
0.0
1
9.0
9.2
4.0
1.2
0.3
0.1
2
10.7
9.8
4.5
1.4
0.3
0.1
3
8.0
7.3
3.4
1.0
0.2
0.0
4
4.5
4.1
1.9
0.6
0.1
0.0
5
2.0
1.9
0.9
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: Borussia Dortmund goals. Columns: 1. FC Köln goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.