Saturday 13 May 2017, 16:30
BayArena
Full time
41%
26%
33%
Home win
40.8%
Draw
26.1%
Away win
33.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen | 40.8% | 2.45 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.1% | 3.84 | — | — |
| 1. FC Köln | 33.1% | 3.02 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.8% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.2% | 16.11 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 79.2% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 20.8% | 4.81 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 55.3% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 44.7% | 2.24 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 33.0% | 3.03 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 67.0% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 16.8% | 5.96 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 83.2% | 1.20 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 59.1% | 1.69 | — | — |
| No | 40.9% | 2.44 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen / Draw | 66.9% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Bayer Leverkusen / 1. FC Köln | 73.9% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Draw / 1. FC Köln | 59.2% | 1.69 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.2
|
6.8
|
5.1
|
2.3
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
7.8
|
12.2
|
7.9
|
3.6
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
6.5
|
8.9
|
6.0
|
2.7
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
3.3
|
4.5
|
3.1
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.3
|
1.7
|
1.2
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.5
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
1. FC Köln
1-2
Bayer Leverkusen
Dec 2025
Bayer Leverkusen
2-0
1. FC Köln
Mar 2024
1. FC Köln
0-2
Bayer Leverkusen
Oct 2023
Bayer Leverkusen
3-0
1. FC Köln
May 2023
Bayer Leverkusen
1-2
1. FC Köln
Nov 2022
1. FC Köln
1-2
Bayer Leverkusen
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.