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Sunday 23 April 2017, 16:30 Schwarzwald-Stadion Full time
42% 25% 32%
Home win
42.4%
Draw
25.3%
Away win
32.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
SC Freiburg 42.4% 2.36
Draw 25.3% 3.96
Bayer Leverkusen 32.4% 3.09

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.6% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.4% 18.42
Over 1.5 81.4% 1.23
Under 1.5 18.6% 5.37
Over 2.5 58.6% 1.71
Under 2.5 41.4% 2.42
Over 3.5 36.2% 2.76
Under 3.5 63.8% 1.57
Over 4.5 19.2% 5.21
Under 4.5 80.8% 1.24

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 61.5% 1.63
No 38.5% 2.59

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
SC Freiburg / Draw 67.6% 1.48
SC Freiburg / Bayer Leverkusen 74.7% 1.34
Draw / Bayer Leverkusen 57.6% 1.74

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.4
6.1
4.7
2.2
0.8
0.2
1
7.1
11.6
7.7
3.6
1.3
0.4
2
6.4
9.0
6.3
3.0
1.0
0.3
3
3.5
4.9
3.4
1.6
0.6
0.2
4
1.4
2.0
1.4
0.7
0.2
0.1
5
0.5
0.7
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: SC Freiburg goals. Columns: Bayer Leverkusen goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.