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Sunday 2 April 2017, 18:30 BayArena Full time
53% 26% 21%
Home win
52.9%
Draw
26.1%
Away win
21.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bayer Leverkusen 52.9% 1.89
Draw 26.1% 3.83
VfL Wolfsburg 21.0% 4.76

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.7% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.3% 12.03
Over 1.5 73.5% 1.36
Under 1.5 26.5% 3.77
Over 2.5 47.5% 2.10
Under 2.5 52.5% 1.91
Over 3.5 25.9% 3.87
Under 3.5 74.1% 1.35
Over 4.5 11.9% 8.39
Under 4.5 88.1% 1.14

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 49.8% 2.01
No 50.2% 1.99

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bayer Leverkusen / Draw 79.0% 1.27
Bayer Leverkusen / VfL Wolfsburg 73.9% 1.35
Draw / VfL Wolfsburg 47.1% 2.12

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.3
6.5
3.4
1.1
0.3
0.0
1
11.7
12.4
5.5
1.7
0.4
0.1
2
10.2
9.6
4.5
1.4
0.3
0.1
3
5.5
5.2
2.5
0.8
0.2
0.0
4
2.3
2.1
1.0
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.7
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Bayer Leverkusen goals. Columns: VfL Wolfsburg goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.