Saturday 18 March 2017, 16:30
WIRSOL Rhein-Neckar-Arena
Full time
68%
18%
13%
Home win
68.1%
Draw
18.4%
Away win
13.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1899 Hoffenheim | 68.1% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Draw | 18.4% | 5.43 | — | — |
| Bayer Leverkusen | 13.5% | 7.42 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.3% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.7% | 27.16 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 86.2% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 13.8% | 7.26 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 66.8% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 33.2% | 3.01 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 45.0% | 2.22 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 55.0% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 26.3% | 3.80 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 73.7% | 1.36 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 58.5% | 1.71 | — | — |
| No | 41.5% | 2.41 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1899 Hoffenheim / Draw | 86.5% | 1.16 | — | — |
| 1899 Hoffenheim / Bayer Leverkusen | 81.6% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Draw / Bayer Leverkusen | 31.9% | 3.14 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.7
|
2.8
|
1.6
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
7.3
|
8.4
|
4.0
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.5
|
9.6
|
4.8
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
7.7
|
7.7
|
3.9
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
4.7
|
4.7
|
2.4
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.3
|
2.3
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
1899 Hoffenheim
1-0
Bayer Leverkusen
Aug 2025
Bayer Leverkusen
1-2
1899 Hoffenheim
Feb 2025
Bayer Leverkusen
3-1
1899 Hoffenheim
Sep 2024
1899 Hoffenheim
1-4
Bayer Leverkusen
Mar 2024
Bayer Leverkusen
2-1
1899 Hoffenheim
Nov 2023
1899 Hoffenheim
2-3
Bayer Leverkusen
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.