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Saturday 11 March 2017, 16:30 Schwarzwald-Stadion Full time
27% 24% 48%
Home win
27.4%
Draw
24.1%
Away win
48.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
SC Freiburg 27.4% 3.65
Draw 24.1% 4.14
1899 Hoffenheim 48.5% 2.06

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.1% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.9% 20.42
Over 1.5 82.9% 1.21
Under 1.5 17.1% 5.84
Over 2.5 61.0% 1.64
Under 2.5 39.0% 2.56
Over 3.5 38.7% 2.58
Under 3.5 61.3% 1.63
Over 4.5 21.1% 4.74
Under 4.5 78.9% 1.27

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 62.3% 1.61
No 37.7% 2.65

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
SC Freiburg / Draw 51.5% 1.94
SC Freiburg / 1899 Hoffenheim 75.9% 1.32
Draw / 1899 Hoffenheim 72.6% 1.38

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.9
7.2
7.1
4.3
2.0
0.7
1
5.1
11.0
9.4
5.7
2.6
1.0
2
3.8
6.9
6.3
3.8
1.7
0.6
3
1.7
3.1
2.8
1.7
0.8
0.3
4
0.6
1.0
0.9
0.6
0.3
0.1
5
0.1
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
Rows: SC Freiburg goals. Columns: 1899 Hoffenheim goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.