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Saturday 25 February 2017, 16:30 Schwarzwald-Stadion Full time
27% 23% 50%
Home win
26.9%
Draw
23.0%
Away win
50.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
SC Freiburg 26.9% 3.71
Draw 23.0% 4.34
Borussia Dortmund 50.0% 2.00

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.0% 1.04
Under 0.5 4.0% 24.86
Over 1.5 85.5% 1.17
Under 1.5 14.5% 6.90
Over 2.5 65.4% 1.53
Under 2.5 34.6% 2.89
Over 3.5 43.4% 2.30
Under 3.5 56.6% 1.77
Over 4.5 25.0% 4.01
Under 4.5 75.0% 1.33

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 65.4% 1.53
No 34.6% 2.89

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
SC Freiburg / Draw 50.0% 2.00
SC Freiburg / Borussia Dortmund 77.0% 1.30
Draw / Borussia Dortmund 73.1% 1.37

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.0
6.2
6.7
4.4
2.1
0.8
1
4.3
10.1
9.3
6.1
3.0
1.2
2
3.4
6.7
6.5
4.3
2.1
0.8
3
1.6
3.1
3.1
2.0
1.0
0.4
4
0.6
1.1
1.1
0.7
0.3
0.1
5
0.2
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: SC Freiburg goals. Columns: Borussia Dortmund goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.