Saturday 4 February 2017, 19:30
Signal Iduna Park
Full time
43%
25%
32%
Home win
42.6%
Draw
25.0%
Away win
32.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund | 42.6% | 2.34 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.0% | 3.99 | — | — |
| RB Leipzig | 32.3% | 3.09 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.8% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.2% | 19.15 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 82.0% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 18.0% | 5.54 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 59.6% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 40.4% | 2.47 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 37.2% | 2.69 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 62.8% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 19.9% | 5.02 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 80.1% | 1.25 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 62.1% | 1.61 | — | — |
| No | 37.9% | 2.64 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund / Draw | 67.7% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Borussia Dortmund / RB Leipzig | 75.0% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Draw / RB Leipzig | 57.4% | 1.74 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.2
|
5.9
|
4.6
|
2.2
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
7.0
|
11.5
|
7.7
|
3.7
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
| 2 |
6.3
|
9.0
|
6.4
|
3.0
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
3.5
|
5.0
|
3.5
|
1.7
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
1.5
|
2.1
|
1.5
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.5
|
0.7
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
RB Leipzig
2-2
Borussia Dortmund
Oct 2025
Borussia Dortmund
1-1
RB Leipzig
Mar 2025
RB Leipzig
2-0
Borussia Dortmund
Nov 2024
Borussia Dortmund
2-1
RB Leipzig
Apr 2024
RB Leipzig
4-1
Borussia Dortmund
Dec 2023
Borussia Dortmund
2-3
RB Leipzig
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.