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Saturday 17 December 2016, 16:30 Red Bull Arena Full time
51% 27% 22%
Home win
51.1%
Draw
26.5%
Away win
22.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
RB Leipzig 51.1% 1.96
Draw 26.5% 3.77
Hertha Berlin 22.4% 4.47

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.6% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.4% 11.88
Over 1.5 73.3% 1.36
Under 1.5 26.7% 3.74
Over 2.5 47.2% 2.12
Under 2.5 52.8% 1.90
Over 3.5 25.6% 3.91
Under 3.5 74.4% 1.34
Over 4.5 11.7% 8.51
Under 4.5 88.3% 1.13

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 50.2% 1.99
No 49.8% 2.01

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
RB Leipzig / Draw 77.6% 1.29
RB Leipzig / Hertha Berlin 73.5% 1.36
Draw / Hertha Berlin 48.9% 2.05

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.4
6.8
3.6
1.2
0.3
0.1
1
11.5
12.6
5.8
1.9
0.5
0.1
2
9.8
9.5
4.6
1.5
0.4
0.1
3
5.2
5.0
2.4
0.8
0.2
0.0
4
2.1
2.0
1.0
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.7
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: RB Leipzig goals. Columns: Hertha Berlin goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.