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Saturday 10 December 2016, 19:30 Olympiastadion Full time
81% 12% 7%
Home win
81.0%
Draw
12.0%
Away win
7.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hertha Berlin 81.0% 1.23
Draw 12.0% 8.33
Werder Bremen 7.0% 14.36

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 98.0% 1.02
Under 0.5 2.0% 50.25
Over 1.5 91.7% 1.09
Under 1.5 8.3% 12.01
Over 2.5 77.3% 1.29
Under 2.5 22.7% 4.40
Over 3.5 58.1% 1.72
Under 3.5 41.9% 2.39
Over 4.5 38.6% 2.59
Under 4.5 61.4% 1.63

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 57.4% 1.74
No 42.6% 2.35

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hertha Berlin / Draw 93.0% 1.07
Hertha Berlin / Werder Bremen 88.0% 1.14
Draw / Werder Bremen 19.0% 5.27

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
2.0
1.2
0.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
1
5.1
5.2
2.2
0.7
0.2
0.0
2
8.5
7.7
3.5
1.1
0.2
0.0
3
9.0
8.2
3.7
1.1
0.3
0.0
4
7.1
6.5
2.9
0.9
0.2
0.0
5
4.5
4.1
1.9
0.6
0.1
0.0
Rows: Hertha Berlin goals. Columns: Werder Bremen goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.