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Saturday 3 December 2016, 16:30 Weser-Stadion Full time
44% 24% 32%
Home win
44.4%
Draw
24.1%
Away win
31.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Werder Bremen 44.4% 2.25
Draw 24.1% 4.15
FC Ingolstadt 04 31.5% 3.17

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.6% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.4% 22.52
Over 1.5 84.3% 1.19
Under 1.5 15.7% 6.36
Over 2.5 63.3% 1.58
Under 2.5 36.7% 2.72
Over 3.5 41.1% 2.43
Under 3.5 58.9% 1.70
Over 4.5 23.0% 4.34
Under 4.5 77.0% 1.30

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 64.8% 1.54
No 35.2% 2.84

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Werder Bremen / Draw 68.5% 1.46
Werder Bremen / FC Ingolstadt 04 75.9% 1.32
Draw / FC Ingolstadt 04 55.6% 1.80

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.4
5.1
4.2
2.1
0.8
0.2
1
6.2
10.7
7.5
3.7
1.4
0.4
2
6.1
9.0
6.7
3.3
1.2
0.4
3
3.6
5.4
4.0
2.0
0.7
0.2
4
1.6
2.4
1.8
0.9
0.3
0.1
5
0.6
0.9
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: Werder Bremen goals. Columns: FC Ingolstadt 04 goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.