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Saturday 22 April 2017, 16:30 Audi Sportpark Full time
40% 25% 35%
Home win
40.4%
Draw
24.6%
Away win
35.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
FC Ingolstadt 04 40.4% 2.48
Draw 24.6% 4.06
Werder Bremen 35.0% 2.86

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.3% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.7% 21.21
Over 1.5 83.5% 1.20
Under 1.5 16.5% 6.05
Over 2.5 61.9% 1.61
Under 2.5 38.1% 2.63
Over 3.5 39.7% 2.52
Under 3.5 60.3% 1.66
Over 4.5 21.9% 4.57
Under 4.5 78.1% 1.28

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 64.2% 1.56
No 35.8% 2.79

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
FC Ingolstadt 04 / Draw 65.0% 1.54
FC Ingolstadt 04 / Werder Bremen 75.4% 1.33
Draw / Werder Bremen 59.6% 1.68

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.7
5.7
4.8
2.5
0.9
0.3
1
6.2
11.1
8.0
4.1
1.6
0.5
2
5.6
8.7
6.7
3.4
1.3
0.4
3
3.1
4.8
3.7
1.9
0.7
0.2
4
1.3
2.0
1.5
0.8
0.3
0.1
5
0.4
0.7
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: FC Ingolstadt 04 goals. Columns: Werder Bremen goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.