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Friday 7 April 2017, 21:30 Commerzbank-Arena Full time
44% 29% 27%
Home win
43.7%
Draw
28.9%
Away win
27.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Eintracht Frankfurt 43.7% 2.29
Draw 28.9% 3.47
Werder Bremen 27.4% 3.64

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.0% 1.11
Under 0.5 10.0% 9.97
Over 1.5 69.5% 1.44
Under 1.5 30.5% 3.28
Over 2.5 42.5% 2.35
Under 2.5 57.5% 1.74
Over 3.5 21.7% 4.61
Under 3.5 78.3% 1.28
Over 4.5 9.3% 10.72
Under 4.5 90.7% 1.10

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 48.3% 2.07
No 51.7% 1.93

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Eintracht Frankfurt / Draw 72.6% 1.38
Eintracht Frankfurt / Werder Bremen 71.1% 1.41
Draw / Werder Bremen 56.3% 1.78

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.0
8.7
4.8
1.6
0.4
0.1
1
11.8
13.6
6.6
2.2
0.6
0.1
2
8.5
8.7
4.5
1.5
0.4
0.1
3
3.9
3.9
2.0
0.7
0.2
0.0
4
1.3
1.3
0.7
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.4
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Eintracht Frankfurt goals. Columns: Werder Bremen goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.