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Sunday 5 March 2017, 16:30 Commerzbank-Arena Full time
54% 26% 20%
Home win
54.3%
Draw
26.0%
Away win
19.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Eintracht Frankfurt 54.3% 1.84
Draw 26.0% 3.85
SC Freiburg 19.7% 5.06

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.4% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.6% 11.62
Over 1.5 72.7% 1.37
Under 1.5 27.3% 3.67
Over 2.5 46.6% 2.15
Under 2.5 53.4% 1.87
Over 3.5 25.0% 3.99
Under 3.5 75.0% 1.33
Over 4.5 11.4% 8.78
Under 4.5 88.6% 1.13

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 48.4% 2.07
No 51.6% 1.94

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Eintracht Frankfurt / Draw 80.3% 1.25
Eintracht Frankfurt / SC Freiburg 74.0% 1.35
Draw / SC Freiburg 45.7% 2.19

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.6
6.4
3.2
0.9
0.2
0.0
1
12.3
12.3
5.2
1.6
0.3
0.1
2
10.7
9.5
4.3
1.3
0.3
0.1
3
5.8
5.2
2.3
0.7
0.2
0.0
4
2.4
2.1
1.0
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.8
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Eintracht Frankfurt goals. Columns: SC Freiburg goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.